Networked Notes - 7 June 2016

By Southern Pulse Staff & Network

After leaked tapes and now a potential arrest order, Brazil Senate leader Renan Calheiros might be forced out of his job before the impeachment vote on President Rousseff can occur. Calheiros was instrumental in directing the Senate’s impeachment proceedings in an apparently impartial way, without the theatrics of the Lower House. As such, Calheiros has pushed back against speeding up Senate proceedings and limited Senators arguments on impeachment to pertinent matters. It is questionable whether this is good for Dilma Rousseff. The suspended president has interest in drawing out impeachment proceedings, in the hopes that the Temer interim administration will continue to stumble, making it easier for her to return. Michel Temer on the other hand, favors rushing the final vote on impeachment and removing “interim” from his job title, further cementing his political support. Yet, given the media spotlight and for potential for protests, it is unlikely Temer’s interim government would want a vote during the Olympics.

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PRI leader Manlio Fabio Beltrones has been floating his own name as a potential presidential candidate for over a year. Sunday’s election losses put an end to his already long-shot candidacy. The PRI’s loss of seven out of twelve governor races to the PAN was an embarrassing defeat for the president and his party. Beltrones will struggle to keep his own job through 2018, much less run for higher office.

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Kenji Fujimori, the brother of presidential candidate Keiko Fujimori, did not vote for his sister in the second round of the presidential election, choosing not to vote instead. Kenji has already declared his interest in running in the 2021 election, so his public declaration about his non-vote should be considered a calculated move to try moving out from the shadow of his famous father and sister. Multiple analysts have written about how Fujimori’s control of Congress will impact a potential Kuczynski administration if PPK is declared the winner of the very close election. Separately and perhaps more importantly, it remains unclear how the new divide between the sibling leaders of Fujimorismo will play out, but is certain to re-ignite drama in the prominent family.